National Rankings Agree: Democrats Likely to Flip New Mexico Governor Seat

Rankings Cite Failure Under GOP Governor Susana Martinez
 
This weekend, the Washington Post named New Mexico as the governor’s seat most likely to flip parties. Previously, PoliticoNational JournalInside ElectionsGoverning, and Cook Political Report all reported that Democrats are likely to win New Mexico’s governor’s race in 2018.
 
“National political observers are confirming what we in New Mexico already know: Democrats are poised to win our governor’s race in 2018,” said Richard Ellenberg, Chair of the Democratic Party of New Mexico. “Between eight years of the disastrous Martinez Administration and Steve Pearce’s agenda that is just too extreme for New Mexico, voters are ready for a change.”
 
See excerpts from reports below:
 
Washington Post: “Alongside Maine, New Mexico is Democrats’ best pickup opportunity in 2018. State voters went for Hillary Clinton by nearly 10 points, and outgoing Republican Gov. Susana Martinez (one of just six female governors in office now) isn’t very popular. She’s leaving behind a high unemployment rate and struggling education system.”
 
Politico: “Martinez is term-limited in New Mexico, leaving an open gubernatorial race in a state that’s trending blue with a large Hispanic population… Martinez’s approval ratings are underwater and Democrats see New Mexico, a state that Hillary Clinton won in 2016, as one of their best gubernatorial pickup opportunities in 2018.”
 
National Journal: “After eight years of Martinez and in a state that Democrats have dominated in federal races for the past decade, the winner of the contested Democratic primary will be favored over likely GOP nominee Steve Pearce.”
 
Inside Elections: “one of the best pickup opportunities in the country….the landscape and political climate probably favors the Democrats. Republicans recently lost the state Legislature, Clinton carried the state easily, and the state economy has been struggling. Lean D.”
 
Governing: “With Martinez bowing out after two terms, Democratic-leaning and heavily Latino New Mexico seems ripe for a takeover.”